Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

January 13, 2016
  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    21 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Kammuri

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - El Quisco, Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern and Central South Korea

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern France

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Italy

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Germany

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 6km ESE of San Clemente, Peru

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern South Africa

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 171km E of Kurilsk, Russia

    23 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 100km W of Kuqa, China

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Joseph, MO--KS Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Richmond, MO Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 93km ESE of Shikotan, Russia

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Central City--Greenville, KY Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Madiera, Portugal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico
January 13, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea…or the Gulf of Mexico

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather 1100 miles southwest of the Azores

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather 1100 miles southwest of the Azores

The NHC continues pointing out an unusual non-tropical low pressure system centered, being referred to as Invest 90L, located about 1100 miles southwest of the Azores, which is producing a large area of gale force winds…reaching 60 mph (tropical storm force).

Here’s a satellite image of this area, along with a near real time wind profile of this disturbance

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, this system could become a subtropical or tropical storm within the next day or so. A subtropical storm displays features of both tropical and non-tropical systems, including a broad wind field, no cold or warm fronts…and generally low-topped thunderstorms displaced from the center of the system.

The current disturbance has a sizable wind field with maximum winds up to 60 mph, and a well-defined center of circulation, and some shower activity is starting to pulse near its low-pressure center.

The cyclone is expected to move eastward to northeastward over the eastern subtropical Atlantic over the next couple of days. Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system is expected to produce hazardous marine conditions over portions of the eastern Atlantic for the next few days.

Ocean temperatures are on the cool side for a tropical system to develop…although still warm enough for the disturbance to become a subtropical storm. If this storm were to get a name…it would be Alex.

*  Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
*  Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

This is the 5-day graphical tropical weather outlook

Only one January tropical storm has formed in the Atlantic Ocean since record keeping began back in 1851…which was an unnamed 1938 hurricane that became a tropical cyclone on January 3rd well east of the Lesser Antilles Islands.

 

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico