Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

January 15, 2016
  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    59 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Santa Maria, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Wa, Upper West - Ghana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - Western Australia, Australia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Southwestern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lithgow, New South Wales - Australia

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Karumba, Queensland - Australia

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storm - Eastern and Central Paraguay

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Trinidad _ Tobago

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Pakistan

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern and Central India

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern France

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern France

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds -Central Spain

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Spain

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Sardegna, Italy

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central and Eastern Switzerland

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    20 hours ago WATCH

  • Avalanche - Central Idaho, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Washington and Northern Oregon, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Wyoming

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern South Africa

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Badakshan Province, Afghanistan

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Malé, Maldives

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Bolivia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Logone-et-Chari, Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sabah, Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Narino Department, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Burundi

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Musanze, Rwanda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Africa

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - White Island, New Zealand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Germany

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern Montana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valparaiso Municipality, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Johor State, Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    3 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Izu Islands, Japan region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    4 months ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico
January 15, 2016

Tropical Storm 01L (Alex) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…located approximately 35 miles north of Terceira in the Azores

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Alex

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Alex

Tropical Storm Alex made landfall on the island of Terceira in the central Azores around 915am AST this morning…with maximum estimated sustained winds of 70 mph

Alex is not just the first named storm for the 2016 calendar year. It’s also the first named storm to form in the Atlantic in January since 1978, the first January hurricane (as of yesterday) since 1938…and just the fourth known storm to arrive in the month since records began in 1851.

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of this tropical storm…along with what the computer models are showing

Here’s a short youtube video of tropical cyclone Alex as it moved across the Atlantic Ocean

This tropical system is located about 35 miles north of Terceira in the Azores…moving north at a fast paced 28 mph.

According to the NHC, surface observations, scatterometer, and geostationary satellite data indicate that Alex has weakened, and the current intensity estimate is 60 knots.

Wind and pressure observations from Terceira, along with the scatterometer data indicate that the center is tilted north-northeastward with height, indicative of some south-southwesterly wind shear.

The global models show significant thermal advection developing over the eastern portion of the circulation very soon, and observation from the western Azores show cold air advection. These factors indicate that Alex will likely become an extra-tropical cyclone later today.

Some restrengthening is possible in the short term, but the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to merge with, or become absorbed by another extra-tropical low within 48 hours.

Alex continues to accelerate, and is now moving about 360/24 knots. A gradual turn to the northwest is expected as the system rotates around a broader cyclonic gyre over the northern Atlantic.  

The Azores are about 900 miles from Europe and 2,300 miles from the United States. The archipelago is home to the U.S. air base at Lajes Field, has a subtropical climate, with temperatures hovering year-round between 57 and 71 degrees F. About 250,000 people live in the Azores.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND:  Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are still possible
over portions of the Azores for the next few hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds
indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be
even greater.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall in association with Alex should diminish across
the Azores this afternoon.

STORM SURGE:  Storm surge and waves should gradually diminish
across the Azores today.

 

Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Alex

NHC textual advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico