Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

November 19, 2015
  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    11 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 89 km SSW of Merizo Village, Guam

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 121 km SE of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Central, United States

    22 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 403 km W of Haveluloto, Tonga

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Black River Falls, WI Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Boston, VA Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 79 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Davenport, IA--IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Hutchinson, KS Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paris, TN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2 km NW of Bagulin, Philippines

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 784 km SE of Baie aux Huîtres, Mauritius

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 702 km S of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 14 km WNW of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 2406 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 180 km SSW of Gizo, Solomon Islands

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 167 km ESE of San Jose Village, Northern Mariana Islands

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 17 km SSE of Suklayin, Philippines

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 12 km SSW of Kakching, India

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 92 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 91 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 96 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 12 km E of Hirara, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 3 km NNW of Dogonbadan, Iran

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 32 km ESE of Mina, Nevada

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 732 km WNW of Hanga Roa, Chile

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 92 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 27 km W of Foxton, New Zealand

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 459 km ENE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 1149 km S of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29 km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 167 km SE of Katsuura, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 107 km SW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 379 km SSE of Shimoda, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 171 km ESE of La Playa, Mexico

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 66 km E of Puente Alto, Chile

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 81 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 358 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2395 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 641 km NNE of Port Mathurin, Mauritius

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 295 km WNW of Tofino, Canada

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 279 km ENE of Lospalos, Timor Leste

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 87 km NNE of Nago, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 194 km SSW of Padang, Indonesia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km SSE of Ierápetra, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Central Honduras

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangui, Central African Republic

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - India

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Quebec, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northeastern India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Sancti Spiritus, Cuba

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Central Region, Cuba

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
November 19, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active western Pacific Ocean, located about 421 NM southeast of Andersen AFB, Guam….

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Rick) is active eastern Pacific Ocean, located about 315 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico….

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…as a Typhoon

Here’s a satellite  loop of 27W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 421 NM southeast of Andersen AFB, Guam …moving west-northwest at 11 knots. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #11 were 65 knots…with gusts to 80 knots

There is also a tropical disturbance in the southern Pacific Ocean…known as 93P Invest

This area, circled in yellow above…is located about 280 NM south of Honiara, Solomon Islands – here’s a satellite loop of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Rick (21E)…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Rick (21E)…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Rick) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Storm

Here’s a satellite  loop of 21E – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 315 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico …moving north at 06 knots. Maximum surface winds at the NHC Advisory #01 were 35 knots…with gusts to 45 knots

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific Ocean (circled in yellow)

Here is a satellite image of the area

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the Southern Indian Ocean…known as Invest 94S

This area, circled in orange above…is located about 252 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia – here’s a satellite image of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-one)   

NHC textual warning
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST THU NOV 19 2015

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or
early next week. Environmental conditions are forecast to become
conducive for development by early next week while the low moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Nov 19 2015/06Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8S
160.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1S 159.4E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM
SOUTH OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 190320Z NOAA-19 89 MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
105 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH 10 TO 15 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND AN AREA
OF UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT
STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean (Issued Nov 19 2015/18Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7S 80.6E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7S 76.9E, APPROXIMATELY 252 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
BROAD ALBEIT WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SLOWLY
CONSOLIDATING BANDS. AN 191622Z SSMI-S MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THE
DEEPER CONVECTION IS FRAGMENTED ALONG THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA OF LOW-
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT IS MOSTLY OFFSET BY EXCELLENT
RADIAL OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AT 28-30 DEGREES CELSIUS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NUMERIC
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INTENSIFICATION TO A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN 60-66
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area