Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

November 17, 2015
  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 17km S of Searles Valley, CA

    23 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - West Liberty, IA Region, United States

    11 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    12 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    13 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Depression - Cristobal

    49 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Woodstock, VA Region, United States

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Malanje - Angola

    29 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tornado - Nashville, TN WFO Region, US

    54 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 134 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    18 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lebanon, PA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Owensboro, KY Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pune District, India

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Solano County (Wildlife Fire), California, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Sweden

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Vietnam

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Argentina

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - El Salvador

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - El Salvador

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Norway

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.8 - 48 km SSW of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 363 km NNE of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 167 km N of Labuan Lombok, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Williston, ND Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 122 km WNW of Ternate, Indonesia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - in Halmahera, Indonesia - 6.7

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dokolo District, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Barak Valley Region, India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - US Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Panama

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Pinal County (Sawtooth Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 408 km SSW of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Cleveland, United States

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
November 17, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active western Pacific Ocean, located about 163 NM southeast of Pohnpei….

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Storm strength cyclone

Here’s a satellite  loop of 27W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 163 NM southeast of Pohnpei …moving west-northwest at 16 knots. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #03 were 40 knots…with gusts to 50 knots

There is also a tropical disturbance, 93P Invest (circled in yellow above) which is located in the south Pacific Ocean about 175 NM east-southeast of Honiara, Solomon Islands

Here’s a satellite loop of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Also, there is an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific Ocean…known as Invest 90E

Here’s a satellite image of this area – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the Southern Indian Ocean…known as Invest 94S

This area, circled in yellow above…is located about 646 NM east-northeast of Diego Garcia – here’s a satellite image of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2015

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an
elongated area of low pressure extending from several hundred miles
south to southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula has increased and become more concentrated since
yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for development
through late this week, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the next few days while this system moves west-northwestward
to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Nov 17 2015/18Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.8S
165.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3S 161.7E, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POORLY DEFINED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean (Issued Nov 17 2015/18Z):

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.7S 82.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 646 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROADLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH BROKEN BANDS OF WEAK CONVECTION
PERSISTING IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. AN EARLIER 170427Z ASCAT
PASS INDICATED WIND SPEEDS NEAR THE CENTER RANGED FROM 15 TO 20
KNOTS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED ALONG THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY,
IN AN AREA OF STRONG GRADIENT INDUCED WINDS. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC ARE FAVORABLE, RANGING FROM
29 TO 30 CELSIUS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS IN AN
AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5 TO 10 KTS) WITH FAVORABLE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area