Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

November 17, 2015
  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    45 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Kammuri

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - El Quisco, Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern and Central South Korea

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern France

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Italy

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Germany

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 6km ESE of San Clemente, Peru

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern South Africa

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 171km E of Kurilsk, Russia

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 100km W of Kuqa, China

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Joseph, MO--KS Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Richmond, MO Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 93km ESE of Shikotan, Russia

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Central City--Greenville, KY Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Madiera, Portugal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 70km S of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
November 17, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active western Pacific Ocean, located about 163 NM southeast of Pohnpei….

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Storm strength cyclone

Here’s a satellite  loop of 27W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 163 NM southeast of Pohnpei …moving west-northwest at 16 knots. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #03 were 40 knots…with gusts to 50 knots

There is also a tropical disturbance, 93P Invest (circled in yellow above) which is located in the south Pacific Ocean about 175 NM east-southeast of Honiara, Solomon Islands

Here’s a satellite loop of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Also, there is an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific Ocean…known as Invest 90E

Here’s a satellite image of this area – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the Southern Indian Ocean…known as Invest 94S

This area, circled in yellow above…is located about 646 NM east-northeast of Diego Garcia – here’s a satellite image of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2015

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an
elongated area of low pressure extending from several hundred miles
south to southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula has increased and become more concentrated since
yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for development
through late this week, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the next few days while this system moves west-northwestward
to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Nov 17 2015/18Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.8S
165.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3S 161.7E, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POORLY DEFINED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean (Issued Nov 17 2015/18Z):

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.7S 82.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 646 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROADLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH BROKEN BANDS OF WEAK CONVECTION
PERSISTING IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. AN EARLIER 170427Z ASCAT
PASS INDICATED WIND SPEEDS NEAR THE CENTER RANGED FROM 15 TO 20
KNOTS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED ALONG THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY,
IN AN AREA OF STRONG GRADIENT INDUCED WINDS. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC ARE FAVORABLE, RANGING FROM
29 TO 30 CELSIUS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS IN AN
AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5 TO 10 KTS) WITH FAVORABLE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area