Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

November 18, 2015
  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    9 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    9 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - Queensland, Australia

    10 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - W of Juan Jose Castelli, Chaco - Argentina

    32 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    32 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    40 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Highsurf - Warning (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Eastern Brazil

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Cibitoke Province, Burundi

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern Angola

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern Wyoming, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Sierra Nevada, California, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Germany

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern Germany

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 164km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valparaiso Municipality, Chile

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 173km NW of Hihifo, Tonga

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
November 18, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active western Pacific Ocean, located about 128 NM east-southeast of Chuuk….

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-One) is active eastern Pacific Ocean, located about 455 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico….

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Storm 

Here’s a satellite  loop of 27W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 128 NM east-southeast of Chuuk …moving west-northwest at 09 knots. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #08 were 55 knots…with gusts to 70 knots

There is also a tropical disturbance in the southern Pacific Ocean…known as 93P Invest

This area, circled in yellow above…is located about 180 NM south of Honiara, Solomon Islands – here’s a satellite loop of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Twenty-One (21E)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Twenty-One (21E)

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-one) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Depression

Here’s a satellite  loop of 21E – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 455 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico …moving north at 02 knots. Maximum surface winds at the NHC Advisory #01 were 30 knots…with gusts to 40 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the Southern Indian Ocean…known as Invest 94S

This area, circled in orange above…is located about 508 NM east-northeast of Diego Garcia – here’s a satellite image of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-one)   

NHC textual warning
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Nov 18 2015/06Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S
161.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 160.2E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH
OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS A DEFINED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH 05 TO 10 KNOTS
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean (Issued Nov 18 2015/18Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.7S 82.7E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7S 80.6E, APPROXIMATELY 508 NM EAST-NORTHEAST
OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
BROAD ALBEIT WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SLOWLY
CONSOLIDATING FORMATIVE BANDS. AN 181355Z SSMI-S MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS
THE DEEPER CONVECTION IS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAND. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW-MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR THAT IS MOSTLY OFFSET BY EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW.
ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT 28-30 DEGREES
CELSIUS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NUMERIC GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE
INTENSIFICATION TO A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED
CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND SUSTAINED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area