Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

November 18, 2015
  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Lara - Portuguesa region, Venezuela

    13 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    36 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SE of Calulo, Cuanza Sul - Angola

    57 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Luena, Moxico - Angola

    57 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Batagay, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Batagay, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Verkhoyansk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Verkhoyansk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Tunguskhaya, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Manchester, NH Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Tucson (Bighorn Fire) , Arizona, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Chimoio, Manica - Mozambique

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - North Platte, NE Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Batagay, Chukot - Russia

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Batagay, Chukot - Russia

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - south of the Kermadec Islands

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 253 km N of Fais, Micronesia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Cristina

    16 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 117 km E of Mutsu, Japan

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 98 km N of Batang, Indonesia

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 132 km WSW of Banda Aceh, Indonesia

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Carthage, MS Region, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 9 km E of Villa El Carmen, Nicaragua

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 285 km N of Fais, Micronesia

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Izu Islands, Japan region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 257 km N of Fais, Micronesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - East Ukraine

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern Japan

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Western Bulgaria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Santa Clara County (Crews Fire), California, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Arizona, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern China

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Germany and Northwestern Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Central Poland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Central Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Haiti

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Los Angeles County (Soledad Fire), California, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Apache County (Wood Springs 2 Fire), Arizona, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Sri Lanka

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mongolia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - US Virgin Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Canada

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
November 18, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active western Pacific Ocean, located about 128 NM east-southeast of Chuuk….

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-One) is active eastern Pacific Ocean, located about 455 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico….

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone In-fa (27W)… and an area of tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Storm 

Here’s a satellite  loop of 27W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 128 NM east-southeast of Chuuk …moving west-northwest at 09 knots. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #08 were 55 knots…with gusts to 70 knots

There is also a tropical disturbance in the southern Pacific Ocean…known as 93P Invest

This area, circled in yellow above…is located about 180 NM south of Honiara, Solomon Islands – here’s a satellite loop of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Twenty-One (21E)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Twenty-One (21E)

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-one) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…as a Tropical Depression

Here’s a satellite  loop of 21E – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical storm

This tropical cyclone is located 455 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico …moving north at 02 knots. Maximum surface winds at the NHC Advisory #01 were 30 knots…with gusts to 40 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of disturbed weather in the Southern Indian Ocean…known as Invest 94S

This area, circled in orange above…is located about 508 NM east-northeast of Diego Garcia – here’s a satellite image of this disturbance – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Twenty-one)   

NHC textual warning
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 27W (In-fa)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Nov 18 2015/06Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S
161.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 160.2E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH
OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS A DEFINED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH 05 TO 10 KNOTS
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean (Issued Nov 18 2015/18Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.7S 82.7E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7S 80.6E, APPROXIMATELY 508 NM EAST-NORTHEAST
OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
BROAD ALBEIT WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SLOWLY
CONSOLIDATING FORMATIVE BANDS. AN 181355Z SSMI-S MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS
THE DEEPER CONVECTION IS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAND. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW-MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR THAT IS MOSTLY OFFSET BY EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW.
ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT 28-30 DEGREES
CELSIUS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NUMERIC GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE
INTENSIFICATION TO A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED
CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND SUSTAINED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area