Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

December 31, 2015
  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    12 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 89 km SSW of Merizo Village, Guam

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 121 km SE of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Central, United States

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 403 km W of Haveluloto, Tonga

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Black River Falls, WI Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Boston, VA Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 79 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Davenport, IA--IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Hutchinson, KS Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paris, TN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2 km NW of Bagulin, Philippines

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 784 km SE of Baie aux Huîtres, Mauritius

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 702 km S of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 14 km WNW of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 2406 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 180 km SSW of Gizo, Solomon Islands

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 167 km ESE of San Jose Village, Northern Mariana Islands

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 17 km SSE of Suklayin, Philippines

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 12 km SSW of Kakching, India

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 92 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 91 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 96 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 12 km E of Hirara, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 3 km NNW of Dogonbadan, Iran

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 32 km ESE of Mina, Nevada

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 732 km WNW of Hanga Roa, Chile

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 92 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 27 km W of Foxton, New Zealand

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 459 km ENE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 1149 km S of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29 km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 167 km SE of Katsuura, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 107 km SW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 379 km SSE of Shimoda, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 171 km ESE of La Playa, Mexico

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 66 km E of Puente Alto, Chile

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 81 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 358 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2395 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 641 km NNE of Port Mathurin, Mauritius

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 295 km WNW of Tofino, Canada

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 279 km ENE of Lospalos, Timor Leste

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 87 km NNE of Nago, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 194 km SSW of Padang, Indonesia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km SSE of Ierápetra, Greece

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Central Honduras

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangui, Central African Republic

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - India

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Quebec, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northeastern India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Sancti Spiritus, Cuba

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Central Region, Cuba

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
December 31, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula) remains active…located about 122 NM southeast of Pago Pago

Tropical Depression 09C is now active…located about 1800 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Ula

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Ula

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula) remains active in the southwestern Pacific…and will continue strengthening

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing

This TC was located about 122 NM southeast of Pago Pago…and has been moving west-southeastward at 06 knots.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a more symmetric convective core with deep spiral cloud banding wrapping in from all quadrants. The animated enhanced infrared satellite loop has shown evidence of a developing pinhole eye feature.

Upper level analysis shows a favorable environment, with low wind shear and radial outflow.

TC 06P is expected to track westward, with favorable environmental conditions through 48 hours, supporting continued intensification.

The cyclone is forecast to intensify to 80 knots under these favorable conditions, although then weaken after 72 hours, and turn northward…meeting stronger wind shear and subsidence aloft.

Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #3 were 55 knots…with gusts to 70 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments for Tropical Cyclone 09C

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments for Tropical Depression 09C

Tropical Depression 09C remains active in the far southwestern corner of the Central Pacific…staying away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this depression…and what the computer models are showing

This area is located about 1800 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii…moving west-northwestward at 2 mph.

According to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC): TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE-C...THE SIXTEENTH TROPICAL CYCLONE OF 2015 IN THE
NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...CONTINUES TO PROVIDE MANY CHALLENGES
EARLY THIS MORNING. 

THE PRIMARY PROBLEM REMAINS THE LOCATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER /LLCC/ OF THE DEPRESSION. NIGHTTIME INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
FROM THE HIMAWARI SATELLITE HAS BEEN USEFUL IN MONITORING THE
SHORT-TERM CHANGES IN THE EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE
APPARENT LLCC. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH HIGH-RESOLUTION SATELLITE IMAGERY,
THE CIRRUS CANOPY OVER THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO OBSCURE MOST OF THE 
LOWER-LEVEL CUMULUS AND TOWERING CUMULUS CLOUDS THAT MIGHT HELP US
TO LOCATE THE LLCC. 

ONCE AGAIN...ALL OF THE SATELLITE FIX AGENCIES...PROVIDED POSITION
FIXES THAT ARE IN RELATIVELY CLOSE PROXIMITY. THE ENVIRONMENTAL 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF NINE-C IS 23 KNOTS FROM 110 
DEGREES. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LLCC 
IN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WE WILL MAINTAIN THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY ESTIMATE AT 30 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE FOR THIS ADVISORY IS AN UNCERTAIN 300/02 
KNOTS. AS WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE FOR 
NINE-C REMAINS UNRELIABLE. 

NEAR EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF AROUND 30 DEGREES C...AS
WELL AS HIGH VALUES OF OCEAN HEAT CONTENT APPEAR TO BE MAJOR FACTORS
THAT MIGHT ULTIMATELY KEEP NINE-C ALIVE. HOWEVER...THE LATEST FORECAST
AGAIN INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY...IF AT ALL...DUE TO 
THE STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE. 

IF NINE-C AVOIDS DISSIPATION...IT IS FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM 
INTENSITY BY DAY 4 AS IT APPROACHES THE INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE. NOTE 
ALSO THAT THIS FORECAST CONTINUES TO DELAY THE POTENTIAL CROSSING OF 
NINE-C INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC UNTIL AROUND DAY 5.


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Tropical Cyclone 09C

CPHC textual advisory
CPHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula)  

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area