Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

January 15, 2016
  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    11 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, MS Region, United States

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 66 km ESE of Vikindu, Tanzania

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Ten-e

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Eleven

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Luiana, Cuando Cubango - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Malanje - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Dilolo, Katanga - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Saurimo, Lunda Sul - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Mesa and Garfield Counties (Pine Gulch Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Salmon, Idaho - United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Los Angeles County (Texas Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Garfield County (Grizzly Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 147 km S of False Pass, Alaska

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 125 miles SE of Dutch Harbor, Alaska - 5.4

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 55 km SSW of Surab, Pakistan

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Six

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Elida

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 92 km SW of Basco, Philippines

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - North Korea

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Veracruz, Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Baotou City, China

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Andalusia, Spain

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mali

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Texas, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Saskatchewan, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Spain

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Italy

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - France

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Paraguay

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Missions, Argentina

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Niger

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Nigeria

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - South Korea

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Haiti

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Evia Island, Greece

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - France

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Belgium

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 228 km SSW of Severo-Kuril’sk, Russia

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storm - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Western Yemen

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Myanmar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cusco Region, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Idduki District, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Trinidad and Tobago

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lumberton, NC Region, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
January 15, 2016

Remnants of former Tropical Cyclone 01C (Pali)…are now located about 1700 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii – Final Advisory

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor) is now active…located about 262 miles east of Pago Pago, American Samoa

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for now retired Tropical Cyclone 01C (Pali)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for now retired Tropical Cyclone 01C (Pali)

Former Tropical Depression 01C (Pali) is now retired…about 1700 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii.

Sustained winds as of the CPHC advisory #31 were 29 mph…with movement towards the southwest at 7 mph

Here’s a satellite image of this former tropical depression 

Here’s a near real time wind profile of now retired system…spinning in a counter-clockwise fashion in the northern hemisphere (with the Hawaiian Islands as a reference)

According to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii:

DATA FROM SATELLITE…AS WELL AS FROM LAST NIGHT/S SCATTEROMETER PASSES, AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE OVERPASSES…SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PALI HAS BECOME HIGHLY DISRUPTED AND ELONGATED…AND IT IS NO LONGER POSSIBLE TO DEFINITIVELY LOCATE A CLOSED CENTER.

THUS…THE SYSTEM IS BEING DECLARED A REMNANT AT THIS TIME.

THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSES INDICATE THAT ABOUT 30 KNOTS OF UPPER LEVEL WIND CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.

THE MORE RELIABLE GLOBAL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT IS LEFT OF PALI DISSIPATING ON THE EQUATOR… BUT SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT PALI COULD INSTEAD HEAD WESTWARD AND REGENERATE ONCE IT GETS AWAY FROM THE SHEAR IN A FEW DAYS.

THIS SEEMS VERY UNLIKELY…BUT THE DISTURBED AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON PALI UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

Former Hurricane Pali is the southernmost tropical cyclone to form in the central Pacific basin, developing at just 4.7 degrees north of the equator…very likely influenced by the warmer than average sea-surface temperatures associated with this strong El Niño.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Victor

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Victor

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor) is now active in the South Pacific Ocean

Here’s a satellite image of this Tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This storm was located about 262 NM east of Pago Pago, American Samoa

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows formative cloud bands have slightly deepened and wrapped tighter into a better defined low level circulation center.

Environmental conditions are very favorable for intensification, with low 5-10 knot wind shear, good radial outflow from an upper level high pressure system centered over the top of the center, warm sea surface temperatures…and very high content.

These favorable conditions will support intensification over the next 72 hours, when it will reach 90 knots of sustained winds, with gusts to 110 knots.

In the extended forecast period, TC Victor will begin a slow weakening trend as it encounters increasing wind shear and decreasing sea surface temperatures. Model guidance is in good agreement with a generally southerly track through 36 hours, and then a pronounced spreading beyond that point.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #2 were 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Retired Tropical Cyclone 01C (Pali) (Final Advisory)

CPHC textual Advisory
CPHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area