Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

December 16, 2015
  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Queensland, Australia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Juan Jose Castelli, Chaco - Argentina

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Central City--Greenville, KY Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Eastern Brazil

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Cibitoke Province, Burundi

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern Angola

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern Wyoming, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Sierra Nevada, California, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Germany

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern Germany

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 164km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valparaiso Municipality, Chile

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 173km NW of Hihifo, Tonga

    15 hours ago WATCH

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 138km ENE of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
December 16, 2015

Tropical Cyclone 28W (Melor) is active in the western north Pacific Ocean…located about 125 NM northwest of Manila, Philippines

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Melor (28W)…

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Melor (28W)…

Tropical Cyclone 28W (Melor) is active in the western north Pacific Ocean as a Tropical Storm

Here’s a satellite image of 28W – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this cyclone

Tropical cyclone Melor is located 125 NM northwest of Manila, Philippines…moving northward at 07 kts. Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #21 were 50 knots…with gusts to 65 knots

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Melor (28W), and an area of tropical disturbance with a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone segments and positions, and TAOS potential tropical cyclone impacts for Tropical Cyclone Melor (28W), and an area of tropical disturbance with a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

There is also an area of tropical disturbance in the western north Pacific Ocean (circled in red)…known as Invest 97W

Here is a satellite image of the area – and what the computer models are showing

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high.

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016.

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 28W (Melor)   

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

JTWC Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the southern Pacific Ocean (Issued Dec 16 2015/1830Z):

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.8N
140.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 139.3E, APPROXIMATELY 223 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 151002Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION ORIENTED IN
A LINEAR FASHION TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM. RECENT
SCATTEROMETRY DATA REVEALS THE STRONGEST CORE OF WINDS (15 TO 20
KNOTS) TO BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY WITHIN THE CONVECTION. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO
20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. DESPITE
THE LINEAR NATURE OF CONVECTION, THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE
THROUGH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THUS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS HIGH.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area