Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

January 6, 2016
  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    12 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, MS Region, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 66 km ESE of Vikindu, Tanzania

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Ten-e

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Eleven

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Luiana, Cuando Cubango - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Malanje - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Dilolo, Katanga - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Saurimo, Lunda Sul - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Mesa and Garfield Counties (Pine Gulch Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Salmon, Idaho - United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Los Angeles County (Texas Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Garfield County (Grizzly Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 147 km S of False Pass, Alaska

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 125 miles SE of Dutch Harbor, Alaska - 5.4

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 55 km SSW of Surab, Pakistan

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Six

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Elida

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 92 km SW of Basco, Philippines

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - North Korea

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Veracruz, Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Baotou City, China

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Andalusia, Spain

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mali

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Texas, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Saskatchewan, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Spain

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Italy

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - France

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Paraguay

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Missions, Argentina

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Niger

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Nigeria

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - South Korea

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Haiti

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Evia Island, Greece

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - France

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Belgium

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 228 km SSW of Severo-Kuril’sk, Russia

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storm - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Western Yemen

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Myanmar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cusco Region, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Idduki District, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Trinidad and Tobago

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lumberton, NC Region, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
January 6, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula) remains active…located about 178 NM southwest of Suva, Fiji

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Ula

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Ula

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula) remains active in the southwestern Pacific…although remains on a steady weakening trend

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing

This TC was located about 178 NM southwest of Suva, Fiji…and has been moving northwestward at 05 knots.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows convection has diminished and become more shallow, although still flaring.

Upper level analysis indicates that this tropical cyclone is in an area of low wind shear, although the poleward outflow channel that was sustaining convection…has decreased.

A trough of low pressure digging in from the southwest will limit any further development. Meanwhile, dry air is intruding from the southwest and wrapping into the center. At the same time, TC Ula is tracking over warm sea water, which will help to slow down its decay.

By the 24 hour point, TC 06P will dissipate due to the negative effects of environmental conditions. At the same time, there is a possibility of regeneration beyond 24 hours…as indicated by weather intensity aids.

Maximum surface winds at the JTWC advisory #15 were 35 knots…with gusts to 45 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and a tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and a tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Meanwhile, there’s an out of season area of disturbed weather far to the southwest of Hawaii, circled in orange above, being referred to as Invest 90C…located about 1550 miles southwest of Honolulu

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, strong thunderstorms continue to develop in association with a slow moving area of low pressure.

Although a significant increase has not occurred over the past several hours, environment conditions appear favorable for additional development over the next couple of days…as the system drifts toward the north and northwest.

There doesn’t appear to be any threat to the Hawaiian Islands at this time.

Formation chance through the next 48 hours is a medium 50%.


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1.)  Strong thunderstorms continue to develop in association with a slow-moving area of low pressure about 1550 miles southwest of Honolulu Hawaii. Although a significant increase in organization has not occurred over the past several hours, environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development over the next couple of days as the system drifts toward the north and northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 50 percent.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula)  

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area