Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

January 22, 2016
  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    9 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Santa Maria, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Wa, Upper West - Ghana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - Western Australia, Australia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Southwestern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lithgow, New South Wales - Australia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Karumba, Queensland - Australia

    11 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    11 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storm - Eastern and Central Paraguay

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Trinidad _ Tobago

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Pakistan

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern and Central India

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern France

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern France

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds -Central Spain

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Spain

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Sardegna, Italy

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central and Eastern Switzerland

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    21 hours ago WATCH

  • Avalanche - Central Idaho, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Washington and Northern Oregon, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Wyoming

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern South Africa

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Badakshan Province, Afghanistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Malé, Maldives

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Bolivia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Logone-et-Chari, Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sabah, Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Narino Department, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Burundi

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Musanze, Rwanda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Africa

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - White Island, New Zealand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Germany

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern Montana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valparaiso Municipality, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Johor State, Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    3 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    4 months ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
January 22, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor) remains active…located about 473 miles east-southeast of Suva, Fiji

Tropical Cyclone 08S (Corentin) remains active…located about 758 miles south of Diego Garcia

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Victor

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Victor

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor) remains active in the South Pacific Ocean…swinging by just offshore to the southeast of Tonga

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This storm was located about 473 NM east-southeast of Suva, Fiji

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center, with minimal deep convection being sheared to the east of the system.

TC Victor is being steered west-southwest, and has entered a region of increasingly strong wind shear, and decreasing sea surface temperatures.

These unfavorable environmental conditions have contributed to rapid weakening of the system over the past 12 hours…and is expected to fully dissipate within 36 hours.

Weather model guidance indicates the system may regain intensity within a trough of low pressure after 36 hours, as it attains subtropical characteristics.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #16 were 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Corentin

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Corentin

Tropical Cyclone 08S (Corentin) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…staying away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This storm was located about 758 NM south of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows deep convective cloud banding wrapping tightly into a low level circulation center. A recent image shows an eye feature, with the deepest central convection over the western and northern peripheries of the storm.

Upper level analysis indicates the environment is favorable for additional development, with low 5-10 knot wind shear…and excellent dual channel outflow.

TC Corentin is currently tracking southwestward, where warm sea surface temperature support intensification. In the forecast period 72-96 hours, this system will begin to slow and become near stationary.

After 120 hours, the system will begin to accelerate towards the south and southeast. It is forecast to reach peak intensity around 36-48 hours, which will be 90 knots with gusts to near 110 knots.

Thereafter, the system will begin to gradually weaken as it tracks over colder water, and into a region with high wind shear aloft.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #3 were 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 07P (Victor)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 08S (Corentin)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area