Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

January 28, 2016
  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    24 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Central, United States

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    44 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 141km W of Abepura, Indonesia

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Warner Robins, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Upper Midwestern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Bor, Jungoli - South Sudan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Nkawkaw, Eastern - Ghana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Ndele, Bamingui-Bangoran - Central African Republic

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Tino

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Victoria, Australia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Niquen Commune, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, AL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Jamestown, NY Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paducah, KY--IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Corumba, Mato Grosso do Sul - Brazil

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oconto, WI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Blountstown, FL Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Watertown, NY Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 100km NE of Alotau, Papua New Guinea

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • High Winds - British Columbia, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Manitoba, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - New Brunswick, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 166km E of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 178km ESE of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 124km SSW of Tual, Indonesia

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Minneapolis--St. Paul, MN--WI Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Nova Scotia, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Ontario, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Prince Edward Island, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern South Africa

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Muscat, Oman

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Rockes and Plains, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southwestern United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Germany

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Germany

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Finland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Italy

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Switzerland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - New South Wales, Australia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Angol Commune, Chile

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Brazil

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique, Malawi, and eastern Zambia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Afghanistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Pakistan

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Wales, United Kingdom

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Iran

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Idaho, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Wyoming, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Utah, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - California, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Western Canada

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Peru

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda City, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Quebec, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - South Australia, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Ascension Island region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Chillán commune, Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Central Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Northern Paraguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cabo Delgado, Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho, Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Zambezi Region, Nambia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Western Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Winter Storms - Western and Southern Afghanistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Krakatau, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    4 days ago INFORMATION

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
January 28, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather near the far northwest coast of Australia

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather near the far northwest coast of Australia

There’s an area of disturbed weather in the South Indian Ocean, being referred to as Invest 92S, circled in red above…that now has a high chance of developing

This disturbed area was located about 375 NM north-northeast of Learmonth, Australia, here’s a satellite image – along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows rapidly improving spiral cloud banding, with central convection forming over a well defined low level circulation center.

Microwave imagery depicts deep convective banding on the southern and western peripheries.

Upper level analysis indicates an improving environment with light to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear…and robust outflow.

Sea surface temperatures in the area are favorable for development at 86F degrees (30 degrees celsius).

Weather model guidance suggests development of a tropical cyclone within 24 hours.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is now high

Here’s Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) tropical cyclone information:

Forecast track map

Headline:

Developing tropical low expected to reach category 2 strength when it crosses the Pilbara coast Saturday morning.

Areas Affected:

Bidyadanga to Mardie and the adjacent inland parts to Marble Bar and Pannawonica.

Details of Tropical Low at 11:00 pm AWST:

The low is gradually strengthening and is forecast to become a tropical cyclone during Friday as it tracks southwards towards the Pilbara coast. It is forecast to reach category 2 intensity when it makes landfall on Saturday morning between Pardoo and Karratha, including near Port Hedland.

Hazards:

GALES may develop in coastal parts between Wallal and Dampier, including Port Hedland and Karratha, during Friday evening or overnight into Saturday morning. If the system tracks further to the east then GALES may develop as far east as Bidyadanga. If the system tracks further west then GALES may extend as far west as Mardie during Saturday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour may occur near the centre on Saturday morning and afternoon including in the Port Hedland area.

Tides between Pardoo and Karratha are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark with very rough seas and possible flooding of low-lying coastal areas east of the crossing point.

Heavy rainfall associated with the system is likely to develop over the Pilbara and far western Kimberley from Friday and extend further inland as the system continues to track southwards on Saturday. A Flood Watch is current for the Pilbara and a Flood Warning is current for the De Grey River Catchment, see www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/ for more details.

Recommended Action:

YELLOW ALERT: People in communities between Pardoo and Whim Creek including Port Hedland and South Hedland need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

BLUE ALERT: People in communities between Bidyadanga and Pardoo including Marble Bar, Sandfire and Pardoo; and between Whim Creek to Mardie including the communities of Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Karratha, Dampier and Pannawonica, need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

Communities between Bidyadanga and Mardie should listen for the next advice.

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area