Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

January 29, 2016
  • Floods - Central, United States

    10 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Miami, FL Region, United States

    40 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    53 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    45 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Harlan, KY Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Victoria, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 10km SW of Kakching, India

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Ciudad Altamirano, Guerrero - Mexico

    56 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pecan Acres, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Greenville, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Spencer, IA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mineola, TX Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Louisiana, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Camden, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Terre Haute, IN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Tonganoxie, KS Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Grand Rapids, MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Bend, IN--MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Three Rivers, MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Trinity, TX Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 205km NNE of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 205km NW of Visokoi Island, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 125km SW of Mapastepec, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Rincon de la Vieja, Costa Rica

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Thailand

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
January 29, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 09S (Stan) is active…located about 131 NM north-northwest of Port Hedland, Australia

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Stan

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Stan

Tropical Cyclone 09S (Stan) is taking aim on the northwest coast of Australia

Here’s a satellite image of this strengthening tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This TC is located about 131 NM north-northwest of Port Hedland, Australia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a broad cold dense overcast, with tight spiral cloud banding…wrapping into an obscured low level center.

Upper level analysis indicates a robust poleward outflow channel being offset by strong 25-30 knot wind shear.

TC Stan is currently tracking southeast, and will continue to do so throughout the forecast period.

Weather model guidance indicates wind shear should relax prior to landfall, allowing further intensification to between 55-60 knots.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #3 were 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots

Here’s Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) tropical cyclone information:

Forecast track map

Tropical Cyclone Stan is expected cross the east Pilbara coast as a category 3 cyclone late Saturday.

Warning Zone:

Bidyadanga to Mardie and extending to inland parts of the east Pilbara, including Marble Bar and Nullagine.

Tropical Cyclone Stan lies to the north of Port Hedland and continues to track slowly south southeast towards the Pilbara coast. It is expected to reach category 3 intensity (severe tropical cyclone) prior to landfall Saturday afternoon or evening between Wallal and Whim Creek.

Hazards:

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are likely to develop in coastal parts between Wallal and Whim Creek, which includes Port Hedland, early Saturday morning. There is the chance that GALES could develop as far east as Bidyadanga and as far west as Mardie during Saturday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are likely to develop near the track in coastal parts from around midday Saturday, including Port Hedland and surrounding areas, extending further inland later on Saturday.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 170 kilometres per hour are possible near the cyclone centre as it makes landfall later on Saturday.

Residents between Wallal and Whim Creek, including Port Hedland, are specifically warned of the potential of a dangerous storm tide as the cyclone centre crosses the coast during Saturday. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS FLOODING.

Heavy rainfall associated with the system is occurring in parts of the Pilbara and far western Kimberley and will extend further inland as the system continues to track southwards on Saturday. A Flood Watch is current for the Pilbara and Gascoyne Districts. A Flood Warning is current for the De Grey River Catchment, Pilbara Coastal Rivers and Fortescue River Catchment.

Recommended Action:

YELLOW ALERT: People in communities between Pardoo and Mardie including Port Hedland, South Hedland, Marble Bar, Wickham, Point Samson, Roebourne, Karratha, Whim Creek and Dampier need to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.

BLUE ALERT: People in communities between Bidyadanga to Pardoo including Sandfire and Pardoo; and between Mardie and Pannawonica need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.

Communities between Bidyadanga and Mardie, extending to inland parts to Marble Bar, Nullagine and Pannawonica should listen for the next advice.

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 09S (Stan) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area