Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 9, 2016
  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 66 km ESE of Vikindu, Tanzania

    16 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Winston-Salem, NC Region, United States

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    51 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    59 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Ten-e

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Eleven

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Luiana, Cuando Cubango - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Malanje - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Dilolo, Katanga - Congo (Kinshasa)

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Saurimo, Lunda Sul - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Mesa and Garfield Counties (Pine Gulch Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Salmon, Idaho - United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Los Angeles County (Texas Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Garfield County (Grizzly Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - El Dorado, KS Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 147 km S of False Pass, Alaska

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 125 miles SE of Dutch Harbor, Alaska - 5.4

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 55 km SSW of Surab, Pakistan

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Six

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Elida

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 92 km SW of Basco, Philippines

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - North Korea

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Veracruz, Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Baotou City, China

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Andalusia, Spain

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mali

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Texas, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Saskatchewan, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Spain

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Italy

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Paraguay

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Missions, Argentina

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Niger

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Nigeria

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - South Korea

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Haiti

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Evia Island, Greece

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - France

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Belgium

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 228 km SSW of Severo-Kuril’sk, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storm - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Western Yemen

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Myanmar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cusco Region, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Idduki District, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Trinidad and Tobago

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lumberton, NC Region, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 9, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather over the South Indian Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather over the South Indian Ocean

However, there’s an area of disturbed weather over the South Indian Ocean, being referred to as Invest 96S, circled in red above…that has a high chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 280 NM west-northwest of La Reunion Island, here’s a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing / and a near real wind profile

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows deep convection persisting over the western portion of a consolidating low level circulation center

Upper air analysis indicates a favorable environment, with low to moderate 15-20 knot wind shear…and strong radial outflow aloft

Global models predict further developing of this area into a tropical cyclone

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 27-32 knots

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather over the South Pacific Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and two areas of disturbed weather over the Coral Sea and the South Pacific Ocean

There’s a second area of disturbed weather over the Coral Sea, being referred to as Invest 97P, circled in orange above…that has a medium chance of developing (the disturbance to the left on the Atlas image above)

This tropical disturbance was located about 723 NM west-northwest of Noumea, New Caledonia, here’s a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing / and a near real wind profile (the swirl to the west of Invest 98P)

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a slowly consolidating low level circulation center, with persistent deep convection wrapping into the system

Upper air analysis indicates a favorable environment, with light to moderate 15-20 knot wind shear…and good dual outflow channel outflow

Global models are in good agreement on the development of this system

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

Here’s information from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM)…Government of Australia:

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Tuesday 9 February 2016
for the period until midnight EST Friday 12 February 2016.

Potential Cyclones:

A slow moving low pressure system is currently located southeast of Papua New Guinea. Monsoon flow is expected to develop across the northern Coral Sea this week, which may result in some intensification of the system on Thursday and Friday. However, upper atmospheric conditions are not expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone development.

The low is expected to remain well offshore and forecast to move southeast later in the week. This system does not pose a threat to the Queensland coast.


~~~
Finally, there’s yet another area of disturbed weather over the South Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 98P, circled in yellow above…that has a low chance of developing
(the disturbance to the right on the Atlas image above)

This tropical disturbance was located about 470 NM east-southeast Honiara, Soloman Islands, here’s a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing / and a near real wind profile (the swirl to the east of Invest 97P)

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a broad low level circulation center, with flaring deep convection converging towards the center

Upper air analysis indicates a marginal environment, with light to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear…and good outflow

Global models are in fair agreement on the gradual development of this system

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area