Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 17, 2016
  • Flood - Muscatine, IA Region, United States

    6 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 17km S of Searles Valley, CA

    23 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Woodstock, VA Region, United States

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    54 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    55 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Depression - Cristobal

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Malanje - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 134 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    18 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lebanon, PA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pune District, India

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Solano County (Wildlife Fire), California, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Sweden

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Vietnam

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Argentina

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - El Salvador

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - El Salvador

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Norway

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.8 - 48 km SSW of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 363 km NNE of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 167 km N of Labuan Lombok, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Williston, ND Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 122 km WNW of Ternate, Indonesia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - in Halmahera, Indonesia - 6.7

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dokolo District, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Barak Valley Region, India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - US Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Panama

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Pinal County (Sawtooth Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 408 km SSW of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Cleveland, United States

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 17, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active…located about 115 NM north-northwest of Niue

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active…located about 820 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active in the southwest Pacific…to the south of American Samoa and well east of Fiji

Here’s a satellite image of this strengthening tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

Here’s a recent NASA satellite image of this storm

This tropical cyclone is located about 115 NM north-northwest of Niue

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a broad area of central convection, with very shallow cloud banding wrapping into the circulation…which has remained mostly unchanged.

Recent animated imagery shows a thin band of dry air beginning to be entrained into the system, which is responsible for the lack of intensification observed over the past six hours…and will limit the rate of intensification going forward.

However, sea surface temperatures remain high, and favorable upper level conditions will persist throughout the forecast with low 10-15 knot wind shear and sufficient divergence aloft.


TC Winston is forecast to intensify to 115 knots over the next 2-days.

TC Winston is currently entering a weak steering environment and will remain nearly stationary for the next 24 hours, and then take on a westward track…followed by a turn towards the southeast.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #18 were 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots

A gale and heavy swell warning is in effect for Niue. Niue is a large upraised coral atoll island located east of Tonga. Niue is one of the smallest countries that has one of the largest raised coral atolls on Earth 

In Tonga a gale warning is in effect for waters east and northeast of Vava’u.  Tonga is a Polynesian kingdom that consists of 176 islands, 40 of which are inhabited. Tonga is made up of four major island groups – Tongatapu and ‘Eua in the south, Ha’apai group in the center…and Vava’u group in the north.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile

Here’s a youtube video of a GPM flyby of TC Uriah – along with a recent NASA satellite image of this powerful storm

This tropical cyclone is located about 820 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a very symmetrical center, with a significant increase in deep convection surrounding a well defined 19 NM eye feature.

Animated water vapor imagery shows a very strong poleward outflow channel that has helped strengthen the system, and aided in the deep convection observed in the image.

Sea surface temperatures are amply warm and wind shear is a low 10-15 knots. These environmental factors, coupled with enhanced outflow, will support further intensification to 125 knots over the next 12 hours.

Thereafter, wind shear increases and sea surface temperatures decrease as it tracks poleward (the South Pole). This in turn is expected to weaken the system as it accelerates towards the south-southeast.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #9 were 115 knots with gusts of 140 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area