Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 18, 2016
  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 66 km ESE of Vikindu, Tanzania

    16 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Ten-e

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Eleven

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Luiana, Cuando Cubango - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Malanje - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Dilolo, Katanga - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Saurimo, Lunda Sul - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Mesa and Garfield Counties (Pine Gulch Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Salmon, Idaho - United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Los Angeles County (Texas Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Garfield County (Grizzly Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - El Dorado, KS Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - El Dorado, KS Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 147 km S of False Pass, Alaska

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 125 miles SE of Dutch Harbor, Alaska - 5.4

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 55 km SSW of Surab, Pakistan

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Six

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Elida

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 92 km SW of Basco, Philippines

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - North Korea

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Veracruz, Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Baotou City, China

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Andalusia, Spain

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mali

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Texas, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Saskatchewan, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Spain

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Italy

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - France

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Paraguay

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Missions, Argentina

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Niger

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Nigeria

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - South Korea

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Haiti

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Evia Island, Greece

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - France

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Belgium

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 228 km SSW of Severo-Kuril’sk, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storm - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Western Yemen

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Myanmar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cusco Region, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Idduki District, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Trinidad and Tobago

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lumberton, NC Region, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 18, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active…located about 182 NM northwest of Niue

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active…located about 963 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active in the southwest Pacific…to the south of American Samoa and well east of Fiji

Here’s a satellite image of this strengthening tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This tropical cyclone is located about 182 NM northwest of Niue

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a l;arge ragged eye feature, with cloud top cooling observed within this eye over the past 6 hours. Meanwhile, microwave images depict an eye with tightly curved deep convective cloud banding…wrapping into the system.

Upper level analysis indicates a favorable environment for development, with a good poleward outflow channel and weak 5-10 knot wind shear.

TC Winston has begun to pick up forward speed after being nearly stationary over the past 24 hours.


After 48 hours, the system will begin to re-curve to the south and then southeast by 120 hours.

TC Winston is forecast to strengthen slightly through the 12-24 hour time period, as wind shear remains weak, and sea surface temperatures remain favorable. After 24 hours, the system will weaken gradually as it tracks over colder water. Winston will begin to weaken more rapidly after 48 hours…as it moves into an area with increasing wind shear aloft.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #22 were 100 knots with gusts of 125 knots

Niue is a large upraised coral atoll island located east of Tonga. Niue is one of the smallest countries that has one of the largest raised coral atolls on Earth.

Tonga is a Polynesian kingdom that consists of 176 islands, 40 of which are inhabited. Tonga is made up of four major island groups – Tongatapu and ‘Eua in the south, Ha’apai group in the center…and Vava’u group in the north.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile

This tropical cyclone is located about 963 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts rapidly decaying deep convection. In addition, imagery reveals a partially exposed low level circulation center, with the bulk of the deep convective cloud banding confined to the southern semi-circle.

Upper level analysis depicts moderate to strong wind shear, offset by enhanced poleward outflow.

TC 13S is tracking southward, however, the system is expected to slow significantly after 24 hours. After 72 hours, will begin to accelerate south-southeastward.

Thereafter, TC Uriah should continue to weaken rapidly, due to persistent wind shear. As this storm tracks south of 25S latitude, it will encounter colder sea surface temperatures…which will lead to dissipation by 96 hours.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #11 were 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area