Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 18, 2016
  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    29 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    43 minutes ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 141km W of Abepura, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Warner Robins, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Upper Midwestern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Bor, Jungoli - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Nkawkaw, Eastern - Ghana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Ndele, Bamingui-Bangoran - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Tino

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Victoria, Australia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Niquen Commune, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, AL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Jamestown, NY Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paducah, KY--IL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Corumba, Mato Grosso do Sul - Brazil

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Central, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oconto, WI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Blountstown, FL Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Watertown, NY Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 100km NE of Alotau, Papua New Guinea

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • High Winds - British Columbia, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Manitoba, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - New Brunswick, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 166km E of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 178km ESE of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 124km SSW of Tual, Indonesia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Minneapolis--St. Paul, MN--WI Region, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Nova Scotia, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Ontario, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Prince Edward Island, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern South Africa

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Muscat, Oman

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Rockes and Plains, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southwestern United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Germany

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Germany

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Finland

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Italy

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Switzerland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - New South Wales, Australia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Angol Commune, Chile

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Brazil

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique, Malawi, and eastern Zambia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Afghanistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Pakistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Wales, United Kingdom

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Iran

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Idaho, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Wyoming, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Utah, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - California, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Western Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda City, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Quebec, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - South Australia, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Ascension Island region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Chillán commune, Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Central Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Northern Paraguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cabo Delgado, Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho, Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Zambezi Region, Nambia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Western Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Winter Storms - Western and Southern Afghanistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Krakatau, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    4 days ago INFORMATION

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 18, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active…located about 182 NM northwest of Niue

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active…located about 963 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active in the southwest Pacific…to the south of American Samoa and well east of Fiji

Here’s a satellite image of this strengthening tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This tropical cyclone is located about 182 NM northwest of Niue

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a l;arge ragged eye feature, with cloud top cooling observed within this eye over the past 6 hours. Meanwhile, microwave images depict an eye with tightly curved deep convective cloud banding…wrapping into the system.

Upper level analysis indicates a favorable environment for development, with a good poleward outflow channel and weak 5-10 knot wind shear.

TC Winston has begun to pick up forward speed after being nearly stationary over the past 24 hours.


After 48 hours, the system will begin to re-curve to the south and then southeast by 120 hours.

TC Winston is forecast to strengthen slightly through the 12-24 hour time period, as wind shear remains weak, and sea surface temperatures remain favorable. After 24 hours, the system will weaken gradually as it tracks over colder water. Winston will begin to weaken more rapidly after 48 hours…as it moves into an area with increasing wind shear aloft.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #22 were 100 knots with gusts of 125 knots

Niue is a large upraised coral atoll island located east of Tonga. Niue is one of the smallest countries that has one of the largest raised coral atolls on Earth.

Tonga is a Polynesian kingdom that consists of 176 islands, 40 of which are inhabited. Tonga is made up of four major island groups – Tongatapu and ‘Eua in the south, Ha’apai group in the center…and Vava’u group in the north.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…along with what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile

This tropical cyclone is located about 963 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts rapidly decaying deep convection. In addition, imagery reveals a partially exposed low level circulation center, with the bulk of the deep convective cloud banding confined to the southern semi-circle.

Upper level analysis depicts moderate to strong wind shear, offset by enhanced poleward outflow.

TC 13S is tracking southward, however, the system is expected to slow significantly after 24 hours. After 72 hours, will begin to accelerate south-southeastward.

Thereafter, TC Uriah should continue to weaken rapidly, due to persistent wind shear. As this storm tracks south of 25S latitude, it will encounter colder sea surface temperatures…which will lead to dissipation by 96 hours.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #11 were 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Uriah)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area