Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 23, 2016
  • Flood - Pecan Acres, TX Region, United States

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, FL Region, United States

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Kansas City, MO WFO Region, US

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Greenville, TX Region, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 10km SW of Kakching, India

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Spencer, IA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Harlan, KY Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Ciudad Altamirano, Guerrero - Mexico

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mineola, TX Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Louisiana, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Camden, AR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Terre Haute, IN Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Round Lake Beach--McHenry--Grayslake, IL--WI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Tonganoxie, KS Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Grand Rapids, MI Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Bend, IN--MI Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Three Rivers, MI Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Trinity, TX Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Victoria, TX Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    23 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 205km NNE of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 205km NW of Visokoi Island, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 125km SW of Mapastepec, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Rincon de la Vieja, Costa Rica

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Thailand

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 23, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active…located about 303 NM west-southwest of Suva, Fiji

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active in the southwest Pacific…and continues on a weakening trend over the open ocean

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

This tropical cyclone is located about 303 NM west-southwest of Suva, Fiji

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a slowly decaying low level circulation center, with curved deep convective cloud banding. In addition, images show deep convective cloud bands wrapping into a well defined broad center.

Upper level analysis reveals a marginally favorable environment, with moderate to strong wind shear…offset by good poleward outflow.

TC Winston continues tracking southward through 24 hours, with a turn southwestward to west-southwestward thereafter.

TC 11P is expected to weaken significantly after 24 hours as it encounters stronger wind shear aloft, and cooler sea surface temperature below. By the 72 hour forecast point, this storm will transition into a subtropical low pressure system, although maintaining gale force winds.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #42 were 70 knots with gusts of 85 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather, along with TC Winston to the west

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather, along with TC Winston to the west

Meanwhile, there’s an area of disturbed weather in the South Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 92P, circled in orange above…that has a medium chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 520 NM west of Bora Bora, here’s a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a partially exposed low level circulation center, with formative convective cloud banding over the north and eastern quadrants. In addition, images show a broad center with fragmented banding wrapping into a defined center.

Upper air analysis shows the system in a favorable environment, with low wind shear aloft, and good poleward and equatorward outflow.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area