Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

February 24, 2016
  • Flood - West Liberty, IA Region, United States

    7 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 17km S of Searles Valley, CA

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Nashville, TN WFO Region, US

    14 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    36 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    49 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 134 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lebanon, PA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Owensboro, KY Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Malanje - Angola

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Cristobal

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pune District, India

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Solano County (Wildlife Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Sweden

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Vietnam

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Argentina

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - El Salvador

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - El Salvador

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Norway

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.8 - 48 km SSW of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 363 km NNE of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 167 km N of Labuan Lombok, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Williston, ND Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 122 km WNW of Ternate, Indonesia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - in Halmahera, Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dokolo District, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Barak Valley Region, India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - US Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Panama

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Pinal County (Sawtooth Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 408 km SSW of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Cleveland, United States

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
February 24, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active…located about 459 NM south-southwest of Suva, Fiji

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston)

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) remains active in the southwest Pacific…and continues on a weakening trend over the open ocean

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone, what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

Here’s a microwave looping image of TC Winston…during the past 24 hours

This tropical cyclone is located about 459 NM south-southwest of Suva, Fiji

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts an exposed, broad low level circulation center, with deep convection sheared to the south. Additional satellite imagery reveal shallow banding wrapping around a defined but broad center.

Upper level analysis reveals an unfavorable environment, with strong 30-40 knot wind shear.

TC Winston is forecast to take a turn southwestward to west-southwestward.

TC 11P is expected to continue weakening as it encounters even stronger wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures. By the 36 hour forecast point, 11P will transition fully into a subtropical low, but is expected to maintain gale force winds.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #46 were 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather, along with TC Winston to the west-southwest

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather, along with TC Winston to the west-southwest

Meanwhile, an area of disturbed weather remains active in the South Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 92P, circled in red above…that has a high chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 275 NM west of Bora Bora, here’s a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing…and a near real time wind profile

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a consolidating low level circulation center, with improved convective banding. Additionally, images show convective banding wrapping tightly into a well-defined center.

Upper air analysis shows the system in a favorable environment, with low wind shear aloft, and good poleward and equatorward outflow.

Dynamic weather model guidance indicates a steady southeastward track over the next two days, with gradual intensification…due to the aforementioned favorable conditions.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11P (Winston) 

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area