Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 14, 2016
  • Winter Storm - Central, United States

    6 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Niquen Commune, Chile

    9 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    51 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    46 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 141km W of Abepura, Indonesia

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Warner Robins, GA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Upper Midwestern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Bor, Jungoli - South Sudan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Nkawkaw, Eastern - Ghana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Ndele, Bamingui-Bangoran - Central African Republic

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Tino

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Victoria, Australia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, AL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Jamestown, NY Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paducah, KY--IL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Corumba, Mato Grosso do Sul - Brazil

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oconto, WI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Blountstown, FL Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Watertown, NY Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 100km NE of Alotau, Papua New Guinea

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • High Winds - British Columbia, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Manitoba, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - New Brunswick, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 166km E of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 178km ESE of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 124km SSW of Tual, Indonesia

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Minneapolis--St. Paul, MN--WI Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Nova Scotia, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Ontario, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Prince Edward Island, Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern South Africa

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Muscat, Oman

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Rockes and Plains, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southwestern United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Germany

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Germany

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Finland

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Italy

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Switzerland

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - New South Wales, Australia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Angol Commune, Chile

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Peru

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Brazil

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique, Malawi, and eastern Zambia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Afghanistan

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Pakistan

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Wales, United Kingdom

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Iran

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Idaho, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Wyoming, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Utah, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - California, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Western Canada

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Peru

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda City, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Quebec, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - South Australia, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Ascension Island region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Chillán commune, Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Central Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Northern Paraguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cabo Delgado, Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho, Kootenay National Park, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Zambezi Region, Nambia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Western Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Winter Storms - Western and Southern Afghanistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Krakatau, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    4 days ago INFORMATION

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 14, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

There is however an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 98P, in the Gulf of Carpenteria, circled in yellow above…which has a low chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 55 NM west of Mornington Island, Australia, here’s a satellite image…and a near real time wind profile – and what the computer models are showing / Here’s the looping radar image from Mornington Island

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery show a fully exposed low level circulation center, and disorganized flaring convection.

In addition, images also show a symmetrical cloud signature, and morningstar Island observations indicate a two millibar, 24 hour air pressure fall…indicating a strengthening trend.

Upper level analysis shows a favorable environment, with moderate poleward outflow, and strong equatorward outflow. However, wind shear values are less favorable, at 15-20 knots.

Weather models indicate the low level center, currently over land, will move over the warm waters of the Gulf of Carpenteria within the next two days.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

Finally, there’s another area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 99S, in the South Indian Ocean, circled in yellow above…which has a low chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 550 NM west of Cocos Island, Australia, here’s a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts central convection developing over a broad low level circulation center…with associated shallow convective cloud banding evident.

A partial windscat  pass indicates 15-20 knot winds wrapping into the center.

Upper level analysis shows a favorable environment, with good divergence aloft, and low 5-10 knot wind shear.

Sea surface temperatures are warm enough to support development.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area