Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 15, 2016
  • Flood - Miami, FL Region, United States

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Harlan, KY Region, United States

    29 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    43 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Victoria, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 10km SW of Kakching, India

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Ciudad Altamirano, Guerrero - Mexico

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pecan Acres, TX Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Greenville, TX Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Spencer, IA Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mineola, TX Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Louisiana, MO Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Camden, AR Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Terre Haute, IN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Tonganoxie, KS Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Grand Rapids, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Bend, IN--MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Three Rivers, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Trinity, TX Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 205km NNE of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 205km NW of Visokoi Island, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 125km SW of Mapastepec, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Rincon de la Vieja, Costa Rica

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Thailand

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 15, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

There is however an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 98P, in the southern Gulf of Carpenteria, circled in orange above…which has a medium chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 30 NM west of Mornington Island, Australia, here’s a satellite image…and a near real time wind profile – and what the computer models are showing / Here’s the looping radar image from Mornington Island

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery show increasingly organized convection over a developing low level circulation center..

In addition, recent observations from Mornington Island airport, indicate winds maintaining at 15-20 knots.

Upper level analysis shows a favorable environment, with dual channel outflow, and light to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear.

Very high sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Carpenteria are conducive for further development.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.


The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium


The following information is from the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology (BOM):

Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map (Tropical Low)

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1

Issued at 1:18 am EST on Wednesday 16 March 2016

Headline:

A tropical cyclone may develop on Thursday morning in the southern Gulf of Carpentaria.

Areas Affected:

Warning Zone

None.

Watch Zone

NT/Qld Border to Cape Keerweer.

Cancelled Zone

None.

Details of Tropical Low at 10:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 55 kilometres of 15.6 degrees South 138.4 degrees East, estimated to be 150 kilometres northwest of Mornington Island and 355 kilometres west of Kowanyama.

Movement: east southeast at 9 kilometres per hour.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone during Thursday morning as it approaches Cape York Peninsula.

Hazards:

Gales may develop between the NT/Queensland border and Cape Keerweer.

Recommended Action:

People between the NT/Queensland border and Cape Keerweer should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours

Finally, there’s another area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 99S, in the South Indian Ocean, circled in orange above…which has a medium chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 870 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia, here’s a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a consolidating symmetric system, with flaring convection.

Microwave images show deep curved convection, which is confined to the eastern periphery, wrapping into the low level circulation center.

Upper level analysis shows a very favorable environment, with radial outflow, and low 5-10 knot wind shear.

Global models show development of this disturbance over the next 2-3 days.


Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.


The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area