Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 16, 2016
  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    42 minutes ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 141km W of Abepura, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Warner Robins, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Upper Midwestern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Upper Midwestern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Bor, Jungoli - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Nkawkaw, Eastern - Ghana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Ndele, Bamingui-Bangoran - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Shishaldin, United States

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Tino

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Victoria, Australia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Niquen Commune, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwestern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jackson, AL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Jamestown, NY Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paducah, KY--IL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Corumba, Mato Grosso do Sul - Brazil

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Central, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oconto, WI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Defiance, OH Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Blountstown, FL Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Watertown, NY Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 100km NE of Alotau, Papua New Guinea

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • High Winds - British Columbia, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Manitoba, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - New Brunswick, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 166km E of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 178km ESE of Raoul Island, New Zealand

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 124km SSW of Tual, Indonesia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Minneapolis--St. Paul, MN--WI Region, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Nova Scotia, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Ontario, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Prince Edward Island, Canada

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern South Africa

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Muscat, Oman

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Rockes and Plains, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southwestern United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Germany

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Germany

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Finland

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Italy

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Switzerland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - New South Wales, Australia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Angol Commune, Chile

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Southern Argentina

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Brazil

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique, Malawi, and eastern Zambia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Afghanistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Pakistan

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Wales, United Kingdom

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Iran

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Idaho, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Wyoming, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Utah, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - California, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Western Canada

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda City, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Quebec, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - South Australia, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - Ascension Island region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Chillán commune, Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Central Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storm - Northern Paraguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cabo Delgado, Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Little Yoho National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho, Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - New South Wales, Australia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Zambezi Region, Nambia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Western Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Winter Storms - Western and Southern Afghanistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Krakatau, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    4 days ago INFORMATION

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 16, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active…located about 768 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia  

Tropical Cyclone 16P is now dissipating…located about 236 NM west of Cairns, Australia – Final Warning

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for now dissipating Tropical Cyclone 15S (E)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) is active in the south Indian Ocean…remaining away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)…and what the computer models are showing

Tropical cyclone 15S is located about 768 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a compact, consolidating system, with a banding eye feature. In addition, imagery shows an increase in deep convection, wrapping into the low level circulation center.

TC Emeraude tracking slowly northwestward, in a very conducive environment…with low wind shear, strong dual channel outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures. These conditions will support a period of rapid intensification over the next 24-36 hours.

This tropical cyclone will continue to intensify through the next 48 hours, and then begin a slight weakening trend, as it encounters decreasing sea surface temperatures…and increasing wind shear aloft.

Weather models continue to struggle in the near term, as the system enters the competing steering environment. Beyond 36 hours, model guidance is in decent agreement on a general southeastward track.


Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #02 were 55 knots with gusts of 70 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for now dissipating Tropical Cyclone 16P

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for now dissipating Tropical Cyclone 16P

Tropical Cyclone 16P is dissipating inland over Australia…and has been given its Final Warning by the JTWC

Here’s a satellite image of this dissipating tropical cyclone…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)

Tropical cyclone 16P is located about 236 NM west of Cairns, Australia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows that this system has left the Gulf of Carpenteria, while making landfall over the Cape York Peninsula. This in turn has caused it to weaken due to land interaction, and an increase in wind shear aloft.

TC 16P is expected to remain over land, and fully dissipate over the next 12 hours.


Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #02 were 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 16P Final Warning

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area