Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 17, 2016
  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    12 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    20 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    22 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    19 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Black River Falls, WI Region, United States

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Central, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Champoton, Campeche - Mexico

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Boston, VA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Traverse City, MI Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 79 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Davenport, IA--IL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Hutchinson, KS Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Paris, TN Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 89 km SSW of Merizo Village, Guam

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2 km NW of Bagulin, Philippines

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 121 km SE of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 784 km SE of Baie aux Huîtres, Mauritius

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 702 km S of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 14 km WNW of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 2406 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 180 km SSW of Gizo, Solomon Islands

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 167 km ESE of San Jose Village, Northern Mariana Islands

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 17 km SSE of Suklayin, Philippines

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 12 km SSW of Kakching, India

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 92 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 91 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 96 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 12 km E of Hirara, Japan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 3 km NNW of Dogonbadan, Iran

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 32 km ESE of Mina, Nevada

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 732 km WNW of Hanga Roa, Chile

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 92 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 27 km W of Foxton, New Zealand

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 459 km ENE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 1149 km S of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29 km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 167 km SE of Katsuura, Japan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 107 km SW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 379 km SSE of Shimoda, Japan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 171 km ESE of La Playa, Mexico

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 66 km E of Puente Alto, Chile

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 81 km S of Néa Anatolí, Greece

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 358 km ESE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 2395 km SW of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 641 km NNE of Port Mathurin, Mauritius

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 295 km WNW of Tofino, Canada

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 279 km ENE of Lospalos, Timor Leste

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 87 km NNE of Nago, Japan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 194 km SSW of Padang, Indonesia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km SSE of Ierápetra, Greece

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Central Honduras

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangui, Central African Republic

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southeastern Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Quebec, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northeastern India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Sancti Spiritus, Cuba

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Central Region, Cuba

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 17, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active…located about 710 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia  

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours...and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) is active in the south Indian Ocean…remaining over 1,000 miles away from land – roughly south of Sri Lanka and west of Java

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)…and what the computer models are showing

Tropical cyclone 15S is located about 710 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia / A NASA satellite image taken today

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts deep symmetric core convection, and a very compact 14 NM eye feature. Over the past few hours, this system has undergone a period of very rapid intensification (RI), and as a result the forecast winds are now 125 knots.

Upper level analysis indicates TC Emeraude continues to track in a favorable environment, with low wind shear of 10-15 knots, along with a solid poleward outflow channel, and warm sea surface temperatures. This TC has become nearly stationary over the past 6-hours.

Favorable conditions are expected to continue for the next 24 hours, supporting a further slow intensification…which will have it attaining the equivalent of a Super Typhoon/Category 5 major hurricane!

After 36 hours, the system will begin a slow weakening trend, in response to a degradation of upper level conditions, and lower ocean heat content values.

Generally near stationary movement is forecast over the next 6-12 hours, as the TC begins to slowly turn to the south-southeast. The system is expected to pick up speed after 12 hours, and accelerate towards the southeast…as it further strengthens. After 72 hours, TC 15S will turn back to the west.

Weather model guidance is not in good agreement, and continues to show significant track direction and steering environment differences, especially after 48 hours. Therefore, the JTWC notes that the certainty of the time of the expected turning, noted above…remains low.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #04 were 125 knots with gusts of 150 knots / Yesterday’s forecast wind numbers at the same time: 55 knots with gusts of 70 knots – major intensification!


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area