Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 18, 2016
  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    51 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    45 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Kammuri

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - El Quisco, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern and Central South Korea

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern France

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Italy

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Germany

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 6km ESE of San Clemente, Peru

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern South Africa

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 171km E of Kurilsk, Russia

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 100km W of Kuqa, China

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Joseph, MO--KS Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Richmond, MO Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 93km ESE of Shikotan, Russia

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Central City--Greenville, KY Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Madiera, Portugal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 70km S of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 18, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active…located about 734 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia  

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active in the south Indian Ocean…still over 1,000 miles away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)…and what the computer models are showing / This is a youtube video of a graphical flyby of TC Emeraude

Tropical cyclone 15S is located about 734 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts tight convective cloud banding, into a partially exposed low level circulation center.

Upper level analysis indicates that TC Emeraude is under weak 5-10 knot wind shear. However, weak upper level outflow and decreasing ocean heat content…are contributing to the current weakening trend. This slow trend is forecast to continue for the next 48 hours, as the system tracks over increasingly unfavorable environmental conditions.

After 72 hours, more favorable conditions are expected to support re-intensification, as poleward outflow is re-established, and sea surface temperatures begin to increase again.

This tropical cyclone is expected to peak within 96 hours, reaching 105 knots, before weakening once again within 120 hours.

A gradual increase in east-southeast motion is forecast over the next 12 hours. Within 36 hours, a sharp turn to the west-southwest is expected.

Weather model guidance continues to not be in good agreement, showing significant track direction and steering environment differences, especially after 24 hours. Therefore, the JTWC notes that the confidence level remains low in regards to the particulars.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #06 were 85 knots with gusts of 105 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area