Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

March 18, 2016
  • Flood - Woodstock, VA Region, United States

    4 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Muscatine, IA Region, United States

    4 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 17km S of Searles Valley, CA

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    6 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Cristobal

    18 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Nashville, TN WFO Region, US

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Baton Rouge, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Kinston, NC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 134 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Caruthersville, MO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lebanon, PA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Owensboro, KY Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pune District, India

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Yemen

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Solano County (Wildlife Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Sweden

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Vietnam

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Argentina

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - El Salvador

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - El Salvador

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Norway

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.8 - 48 km SSW of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 363 km NNE of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 167 km N of Labuan Lombok, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Williston, ND Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 122 km WNW of Ternate, Indonesia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 58 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Halmahera Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - in Halmahera, Indonesia - 6.7

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dokolo District, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Barak Valley Region, India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - US Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Panama

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - Pinal County (Sawtooth Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 408 km SSW of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Cleveland, United States

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
March 18, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active…located about 734 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia  

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude) remains active in the south Indian Ocean…still over 1,000 miles away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone…and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)…and what the computer models are showing / This is a youtube video of a graphical flyby of TC Emeraude

Tropical cyclone 15S is located about 734 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts tight convective cloud banding, into a partially exposed low level circulation center.

Upper level analysis indicates that TC Emeraude is under weak 5-10 knot wind shear. However, weak upper level outflow and decreasing ocean heat content…are contributing to the current weakening trend. This slow trend is forecast to continue for the next 48 hours, as the system tracks over increasingly unfavorable environmental conditions.

After 72 hours, more favorable conditions are expected to support re-intensification, as poleward outflow is re-established, and sea surface temperatures begin to increase again.

This tropical cyclone is expected to peak within 96 hours, reaching 105 knots, before weakening once again within 120 hours.

A gradual increase in east-southeast motion is forecast over the next 12 hours. Within 36 hours, a sharp turn to the west-southwest is expected.

Weather model guidance continues to not be in good agreement, showing significant track direction and steering environment differences, especially after 24 hours. Therefore, the JTWC notes that the confidence level remains low in regards to the particulars.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #06 were 85 knots with gusts of 105 knots


Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 15S (Emeraude)

JTWC textual Warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area