Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

April 15, 2016
  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    28 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    56 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    22 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    33 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    33 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    33 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    47 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Depression - Kammuri

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - El Quisco, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern and Central South Korea

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern France

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Italy

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Germany

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 6km ESE of San Clemente, Peru

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern South Africa

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 171km E of Kurilsk, Russia

    22 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 100km W of Kuqa, China

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Nebraska City, NE Region, United States

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Joseph, MO--KS Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Richmond, MO Region, United States

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 93km ESE of Shikotan, Russia

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Central City--Greenville, KY Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carmi, IL Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Madiera, Portugal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 70km S of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans
April 15, 2016

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Fantala) is active in the South Indian Ocean…located about 575 NM northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 19S

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 19S

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Fantala) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…staying away from any islands or land at the time of this writing

Here’s a satellite image of this tropical cyclone, and a near real time wind profile (spinning clockwise in the southern hemisphere)…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a NASA satellite image of this tropical cyclone, taken today. This NASA image showed rain falling at a rate of almost 12 inches per hour on the southwestern side!

Tropical cyclone 19S is located about 488 NM north-northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts tightly curved spiral cloud banding, wrapping into a 10 NM diameter cloud filled eye.

Images also show a small microwave eye, with the deepest thunderstorm activity running along the southern portion of the eyewall.

Currently, conditions are favorable for further intensification, with low 10 knot wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures…and robust poleward outflow.

TC Fantala is expected  to track generally west to west-northwest through 72 hours. Around the 72 hour point, the system is expected to turn back to the southeast for the remainder of the forecast period.

Given the favorable envirnoment, TC 19S is forecast  to intensify to a peak near 115 knots, although after the turn noted above, lower sea surface temperatures will prevail…as the system tracks back on itself.

As Fantala became the equivalent of a major hurricane, regional warnings were in effect for the Republic of Mauritius. A strong wind warning is in force for Rodrigues, Mauritius, St Brandon and Agalega in the Southern Indian Ocean.

Here’s a news report provided by the Seychelles Agency

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #8 were 100 knots with gusts of 125 knots

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

In addition, there’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 90P, circled in orange above…which has a medium chance of developing

This tropical disturbance was located about 240 NM northwest of Nadi, Fiji, here’s a satellite image…and a near real time wind profile – and what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a broad low level circulation center, with fragmented cloud banding.


Upper level analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment, with moderate wind shear…offset by enhanced poleward outflow.

Global models indicate a generally southeastward track, toward Fiji…with gradual intensification.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium

 

Eastern North Pacific

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Central North Pacific

The Central North Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 19S 

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area